crazyt

I feel that way about CNN, new york times, and the washington post. Every single story is a way to bash trump. For those who despise trump it is the epitome of confirmation bias. I think they are quite good at finding facts, but they routinely stray into interpretation or the use of adjectives/adverbs that inject tremendous negative connotations for people their readers hate, and the opposite for those their readers love. epoch, info wars, daily kos, etc are just not legit at all.

there is one that requires no tinfoil which is that the wuhan lab was researching bat coronavirus because of the possibility of crossover to humans. They had job ads for researchers etc. One reasonably well known researcher probably caught the virus and died, but spread it to others. That person has been scrubbed from the site. This is vs. accidental spread via the wet market.

https://www.amazon.com/Wolfbike-Anti-Pollution-Cycling-Mouth-Muffle-Sports/dp/B00HBMJ858 Also HEPA filters filter 99.7% of particles down to .3 microns, where N95 only filters 95%. If you buy HEPA air filters and sew a mask with a slide in pocket, you might be making a mask that is better than an N95 (though you probably will struggle to get the seal right). The only issue is that they have glass fibers that you could be inhaling

an article like that has nothing to do with whether it is like the flu. Here is a similar article about a woman who died from influenza and needed a vent. https://www.familiesfightingflu.org/family-story/the-northrop-family/ The stats make it clear that it is not the flu. Anecdotal stories like this should be irrelevant from a public health point of view. However they do trigger emotions which are used by the media (and politicians) because most people cant internalize statistics.

I dont think many (most?) young people think they cant get it. What they do think is that if they do get it, chances are very good that it wont be serious. They are right. The 40-60 age range is the next highest in austin to be infected. The older people are the least. They are smaller numbers, but not that small.

Hi everyone, we havent had increased traffic or anything but it turns out this can risk our insurance coverage. So Ill have to ask that people join free ride to get the waiver. I would appreciate it if the admin could delete after about 24 hours.

it has been invoked, but mfg are volunteering so the mandate isnt really necessary (yet)

everyone wearing masks is not feasible though you could probably get most people to wear masks. I suspect this is what will happen to get the economy going again. It will be a mixture of isolation for high risk people, masks for people that need to go out and work, and people that have gotten it and are immune just able to go out in general. They will have bracelets or cards for people that have seroconverted and have demonstrable antibodies. they will end up like livestrong bracelets You could start a marketing/viral trend with immunity bracelets right now (someone will) This will go for about 12 months until a vaccine is made.

I think so

As an asian, I want to assure you I dont need SJW to protect me from dumbasses. People will hate on you for being fat, thin, too tall, too short, being a roadie or whatever. The calls that this is racism just show how much even science is influenced by the politics of the left. When white people think they need to come to my rescue because I am asian, that is racist. I can take care of myself. The virus should have been called the wuhan virus as that is where it originated and what it was originally called. Chinese are some of the most racist people in the world.

It is not an easy answer because you could never get everyone to wear an n95 everytime they went out.

this is so ironic after the huge dont modify the trail threads.

there are different kind of masks. Surgical masks protect people around the wearer. N95 masks (officially they are called respirators) protect the wearer. To some extent both offer a little of the opposite protection just by being a barrier. the people that kicked this off conflated surgical masks with n95 masks. The medical establishment mainly wants n95 respirators. N95 masks will definitely protect you. The problem is your chance of coming into contact with it is so low, you wasted a mask when you wouldnt have gotten it anyway. At a statistical level, you using a respirator to protect yourself does nothing to stop the spread (since most people arent using them). So to some extent it is the truth that they arent effective. If everyone wore an n95 when they went out, in two to four weeks the virus would disappear.

just wanted to keep it to mojos. I know most of the people here are good riders. But word of mouth is ok.

they dont actually make much money. They have to charge so much because of all the free services from people that dont pay. Approximately half of hospital i bills arent paid. I subscribe to buddy which is supplemental insurance for extreme sports.

The fr 512 membership comes with liability insurance which is why I require people who ride cat to have a membership. It also reduces traffic a bit. While we have the mandatory quarantine I wanted to open the trail up to people without a membership so people can get rides in. It dries pretty quickly because it is all on steep slopes. It is an extremely difficult trail and it is very easy to get hurt.

back to corona virus, one the challenges is that in two weeks the virus will just be getting started. How long are we going to "shelter in place"? It will take months of zero economy to cause it to peak and reduce new cases. Then when the economy starts up again, it will start to spread again. The summer will help, but are we going to shut down in the fall again? Maybe everyone should start drinking more gin and tonics, and start stocking up on tonic water if it isnt too late to get it in the stores.

My specialty was infectious disease (i did 5 years of an MD PHD before quitting to join a dot com) Im aware of all of the above. The facts are the facts, but people can have legitimate opinions about public policy and medical recommendations. 1) about whether the individual benefits outweigh the risks. Measles is virtually eradicated in the US. The vaccine has serious complications 1/million times. The chance of serious complications from getting measles is hard to measure but right now is probably in the same order of a magnitude as the risk from the vaccine. While antivaxxers believe the risk from the vaccine is higher than it is, they arent wrong to believe there is risk from the vaccine that is comparable to the risk from the disease. 2) Influenza is much worse than measles and most people dont get the vaccine for it. On average only about 40% of adults get the flu vaccine, and flu kills around 40K/year. People worry too much about the measles vaccine, while not getting the flu vaccine. 3) No doubt that polio is nasty. The OPV is likely the vaccine you received and is live attenuated virus. It has a small probability of reactivating. They stopped giving it in 2000 in the US because the risk from the vaccine is higher than the risk from the disease. It is still given around the world because the risk of getting polio in the wild is so much higher. 4) shingles is from varicella zoster (chicken pox) 5) The govt has to keep messages simple and politics can drive vaccine recommendations. Some vaccines like the hepatitis vaccine are recommended to be given at birth. It is a public health measure to try to get rid of hepatitis in at risk teen populations. They cant get those kids to come in when they start having sex and doing IV drugs so they want to vaccinate all kids at birth before they leave the hospital. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3092064/ HPV is similar

https://www.cleveland.com/coronavirus/2020/03/is-it-possible-to-catch-the-flu-and-coronavirus-at-the-same-time.html

Sorry I was thinking about the OPV. OPV was the main polio vaccine for almost 40 years. It is still the main vaccine used around the world. It is no longer used in the US because it has a very small risk of actually giving polio. Now that polio is eliminated the vaccine has higher risk than the actual disease.

corona virus is a well studied virus. What makes a particular strain deadly is our ability to recognize it or not. They keep saying we dont know anything about it and that is true in the sense that it is too new to have replicated every other corona virus study with this strain. But it is likely it behaves very similarly to other viruses that have the same basic makeup. One thing they dont mention is that viruses are inactivated very quickly on fabrics, tissues, etc - 15 minutes. They are inactivated relatively quickly on your skin (5-15 minutes). They basically just want to scare people into following their rules by talking about the worst possible case. Viruses are easily killed by bleach and many other disinfectants. The COA closed pools, but pools have bleach to kill viruses and being bathed in pool water is probably extremely safe.

I havent ever spoken to an antivaxxer about the topic, but my sense is that antivaxxers arent against vaccines in general. They just believe the risk outweighs the benefits for some diseases like measles which arent that bad even if you do get them. I know plenty of rabid pro vaxxers that dont get the flu vaccine. It is easy to demonize the other side, but everyone has areas of ignorance and blind spots. For most people science is a religion because it is too complicated to understand. Everyone essentially trusts what scientists say, like priests. One thing to realize is that all scientific pronouncements are based on statistics. There is a valid school of thought that variability of human beings is so large that we can never gather enough statistics to get full understanding. My opinion is just about anything you can think of can happen in nature at some rate. Vaccines do have very serious side effects at about 1/1,000,000 rate. For diseases like polio they no longer give the vaccine in the US because the side effects outweighed the benefits. For something like covid-19, the benefits would probably be large, and any downsides will probably be similar to the downsides of traditional vaccines. Most studies are done with white people, so the impact in other "races" could be substantially different. Scientists are confident that chocolate does not cause acne. What they are really saying is that when they fed chocolate to 100 teenagers, it did not statistically increase the amount of acne. For me, chocolate 100% causes acne.

This is not a fact. If your body does mount an immune response to one it means the other might have a harder time to infect, but it is simply not true you cannot have them simultaneously. Coinfection is one way completely novel viruses arise. Their genomes have evolved to be able to mix and match during coinfection. Look up the terms genetic drift and genetic shift.

take a look at buddy insurance. It is designed for extreme sports. It is around 50/month and they are great supplemental for high deductible insurance. They cover physical therapy, ambulance rides etc. But they are mainly to cover deductibles and copays coming from acute accidents. They specifically cover fractures, knee dislocations etc. Also influenza and corona viruses die quickly in hot humid environments. I personally think hot yoga is fine if you keep your distance and people that are sick dont go. Finally 500 million is about 1.50 to each american since there are 330 million americans.

almost guaranteed to taper off. Maybe not by april, but by may. That will buy some time to get a vaccine. Otherwise it is going to be a long winter. This virus is very similar to existing corona viruses. Labs were already looking to develop a general vaccine, and they are already getting ready for human trials of a vaccine specific for this strain.